
The interview of US President Donald Trump to Ukraine President at the White House showed a new orientation in US foreign policy towards relations between the United States of America, Russia on the one hand, and between the role of the United States of America in protecting Europe and its continued support for Ukraine on the other hand.
The interview also showed an American diplomatic predecessor that the White House had not seen by crossing the internationally recognized diplomatic norms. Perhaps history will later mention this interview as a point of re -constituting American foreign policy priorities, and then the features of a new universal system, in which the United States of America does not play the role of the global policeman as it was in it since the collapse of the former Soviet Union in the early nineties of the last century.
US President Trump has been trying to change the direction of US foreign policy priorities a change that has not happened in its modern history since the end of World War II.
Trump and post -World War Security arrangements
Founding fathers of the United States of America have pursued an external policy based on political isolation, completely moving away from European conflicts, and renovating the development of the United States of America.
The policy of isolation continued for a long time until the First World War, as the United States entered the war two years after its ignition, so that American soldiers would return to their homeland after the end of the war, and the United States of America returns again to adopt international isolation policy, and to move away from European conflicts and others in the world.
The incident of the Japanese attack against the American Burel Harper base was a direct cause of the United States to enter the Second World War to suggest the palm of the allies, and Germany, Japan and their allies afflicted fatal losses that promote their surrender and the end of the war.
After the end of World War II, the United States of America abandoned the policy of international isolation and adopted a new international policy in which it plays the role of the global policeman, and assisted other international powers allied to build international institutions and organizations, such as the United Nations, the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund, and the Global Trade Organization- which later developed to become the World Trade Organization- to form the features of the international system that has extended since then to then to then to Our current time.
It was also one of the international arrangements that the United States committed to after the end of the Second World War of its allies in Western Europe was to provide a military protection umbrella through NATO as the strongest international military alliance in which the United States plays a major role.
If we leave the media noise- which often accompanies the statements of President Trump- we find that the latter has realized completely the high financial cost of the United States’s leadership of the world, especially in protecting Europe, confronting Russia, and others.
Trump won the last presidential elections, because he raised the slogan “America first and made America a great again”, and perhaps this slogan constitutes an indirect official announcement by President Trump that the role of American hegemony has ended, which will open the door wide to the emergence of new international powers trying to fill the void that will form the absence of the American military role in the continent of Europe, and other regions of the world.
These changes will undoubtedly raise important questions for many countries on the European continent such as Germany, France, Britain, and Italy on reading the last American positions of the Ukraine war and restoring diplomatic and commercial relations between America and Russia.
Europe has realized that the era of American protection may have been nearing completion, and therefore it must take fast and decisive practical steps to form a pure European defense force against the Russian ambitions of expansionist over Europe.
Can Europe form its own military bloc?
Europe does not appear in the best condition and is trying to touch its footsteps in dealing with US President Trump, as it does not want to cut the Muawiyah hair between it and the United States of America, and on the other hand, it cannot withstand the burdens of the huge financial cost to protect the European continent, as well as support the efforts of the war, and to confront Russia in Ukraine without strong American support.
France offered to contribute to extending Europe with a nuclear umbrella that Russia protects and deterred from any future aggressive attacks, and has also committed to continuing Ukraine’s support even if President Trump abandoned Ukraine and Europe completely. France and some other European countries have also expressed its desire to send international peacekeepers to monitor any ceasefire agreement in Ukraine, which Russia is currently rejecting.
The effects of Trump’s foreign policy trends towards Ukraine and Russia have begun to pushing Europe to announce the increase in the defense and national security budget with an unprecedented increase, which will increase its contribution to NATO military.
Perhaps the Ukrainian war will form a milestone in German military spending, as it has increased its spending since the beginning of the Ukrainian war to about a hundred billion US dollars. The next government in Germany will try to continue to increase military and economic spending to support the European defense umbrella in light of the real fears of the future of NATO.
Were it not for legislation from the US Congress that would prevent the American president from withdrawing from the NATO military unilaterally without referring to Congress, Trump would have found the way to withdraw from it early.
Europe has many other options that Ukraine can help despite the economic and political problems that the old continent is going through. For example, it can confiscate Russian financial assets- estimated at about 200 billion US dollars- to support Ukraine in its war against Russia, but such a decision will cause Russia’s ire of great excitement with severe consequences.
The secret of the relationship between Trump and Putin
In the past, any American -Russian rapprochement was a source of hope for the stability of global security and the spread of international peace. Although President Trump’s calls for improving relations with Russia and lifting economic sanctions from them, and stopping the war in Ukraine so that the world avoids a third global war that seems good, this rapprochement between Presidents Trump and Putin appears to be strange and exciting for many concerns instead of sending hope among many international actors.
The special relationship between Trump and Putin is confused by many American observers and politicians. While President Trump does not spare an effort to respond harshly to any political or even political opponent, we find him significantly conservatively in expressing criticism towards President Putin, but his policy of war in Ukraine seems almost identical to Russian strategies.
For example, he doubled his pressure against Ukraine until it broke down the conditions of peace with Russia by freezing American aid to it, which will pose a great danger to the progress of military operations in it, unless Trump retracts his decision, or European countries interfere strongly to compensate for the loss of American support to Ukraine.
The Russian president will try to make the most of the American rapprochement to break the economic blockade and international isolation of Russia without making any basic concessions in the Ukrainian war, and may have been able to keep part of the lands occupied by his forces in Ukraine, reinforcing European concerns about Russian expansion.
There is no doubt that President Trump’s new positions regarding Ukraine and Russia will push Europe to be more independent than the United States, and will make Russia a significant international power, which can fight wars and bite the lands of other countries without deterrent or severe consequences.
Trump has begun his second term with the dismantling of the global regime’s rules that the United States has established since the end of World War II, and has taken care of him and preserved long decades that made it the policeman and the prohibition.
And if the situation continues- as it is now- there will be a new, multiple global system that includes the United States, Russia, and Europe independent of the United States, as well as China and other countries that you will try to find a foothold in this world multiple, such as India, Brazil, and Turkey.
The danger of dealing with Trump in his second term lies in his fact that he feels an exaggerated feeling of his ability to solve many internal problems of the United States of America, as well as the complex global problems depending on a political vision that is not subject to examination and review by an experienced consultant team, as was the case during his first term.
Trump may be able to report the United States to preserve the security arrangements after World War II, but it will not be able to control the overall control of how a new multi -polar system is formed.
The coming years will reveal whether that system- if it is based- will make a world characterized by security and stability, or will be more like a global order between the two world wars; The first and second, where international competition and colonial ambitions were at the height of their borrowing.
The opinions in the article do not necessarily reflect the editorial position of Al -Jazeera.