Abdullah Al-Haqim 
A senior researcher “Carnegie” asked his colleague: If you were to meet important officials in the management of President Trump strategically, Russian President Putin and Ukrainian President Zellinski after entering the fourth year of the war between them, what would you say? He answered: In my view, the administration needs to understand that what leads the Russian military operations in Ukraine two large factors. The hour of the war began to be opportunistic, and he really thought that he was able to achieve a landslide victory over Ukraine, similar to the victory achieved by the “Taliban” in Afghanistan after the withdrawal of the American forces from it, and that it would take over its government in one way or another, relying on the conviction that its army will not fight and that the world will adapt to the new facts on the ground. But that hasn’t happened at least yet. Since that time, the Russians have refrained from giving up their goals referred to above. However, they were trying to “grind” Ukraine and wait for the reactions of the United States and its European partners. The Russians had a kind of confidence in a kind of transformation. There were questions about whether the continuation of the war was possible and with it the provision of conditions of resilience to their Ukrainian allies in it, especially after reaching the support they gave them an endless end, whether by money or important military bond. Note that she received tens of billion dollars. Also knowing that Russia is working to achieve a clear goal is that time is not necessarily in favor of Ukraine.
Another major researcher answered at the very important research center itself, he said: On the Ukrainian level, it can be said that Zelinsky and his people really are in a difficult site. The developments of the war were not in their interest in the last 18 months. It was very expensive to defend the Russian attacks in eastern and southern Ukraine. Ukrainians are very tired. They face difficult challenges related to human power and the involvement in the army. So there is a desire to change what. I think many Ukrainians welcomed the election of Trump as president for the second time because they believe that he would end the whole country crisis. Perhaps they hoped that Trump Putin would push back strongly, and to turn the tables so that Ukraine could find a pass towards a just and permanent peace that you are looking for for a long time. But the last thirty days have shown radical changes, most of which were at the expense of Ukraine, the most important of which was the start of a Russian -American dialogue in the absence of Ukraine. This made the Ukrainians to search for a seat for them at this dialogue table. This is because they do not want to negotiate the security future of their country and its prosperity and democracy in it from above their heads. Note that they are very interested in maintaining the western support of their country, and that at its lowest levels, especially in the areas of American and intelligence support and other issues. Zelinski put it in a difficult situation, as he was forced to defend himself in the face of Trump’s personal attacks, describing him as a dictator and accusing him of starting the war. This may have prompted the White House to say: “We will cut everything and take responsibility for everything from now on.” However, the US military support for Ukraine continued, but it “became a knife.”
There is another matter, the second researcher added himself, which is the possibility of reaching the following questions: What will be the future security arrangements for Ukraine to make them able to defend itself and to deter any new attack that Russia may wage on? On this issue, no idea of the Trump administration would give the Ukrainians confidence to enter the “ceasefire.” This worries them because it gives Russia to re -armed and prepare for a new attack on their country after a few years.
After that, the first researcher commented: I think a larger game revolves around Putin’s head, which is an attempt to plant a permanent wedge between the United States and Ukraine, and pushed it next to a complete exit from Europe, based on its full focus at this stage on important areas outside Europe and forces that constitute a threat to it, most notably China and other countries in the Pacific. So I think it is important to see that Russia’s policies are working on two levels while we focus on what is going on in Ukraine now?
As for the third researcher, he considered despite the setbacks that the Ukrainian situation is not terrible, that is, a catastrophe, and therefore two reasons. The first is the steadfastness of Ukraine in the last three months and the slowdown in the momentum of the Russian attack. One of the reasons for this is that Russia was involved in manufacturing an alternative to the weapons that destroyed the war and improved the Ukrainian military performance on the front. Of course, you can continue indefinitely to talk about this topic. However, the result of the Ukrainian -American discussions that took place in Saudi Arabia, and Trump’s evaluation of it after its completion and taking a time, must be waiting for his next step. Does he continue to pressure Zelinski and the Europeans and strengthen his coordination with Putin, or does he give up the case, as many believe?
