
The new Syrian regime is a source of great concern for Israel, so I have always feared the liberation of the Arab peoples, and then what worries them is not only the Islamic ideology of the new Syrian leadership, but that this leadership succeeds in uniting all its spectrums with all its spectra, and that it can accommodate all its components in the state institutions, and then it can devote himself to building a strong state. Despite the talk of many Israeli writers about the interest of Israel in the presence of a unified and stable Syrian state, as the former deputy national security adviser in Israel Chuck Frilish wrote, this must be understood within the framework of specific Israeli standards in which “moderate” Syria does not pose any threat to the occupying state, and that the southern regions of Quneitra, Daraa, and As -Suwayda are “completely demilitarized”, according to Netanyahu.
What Frilish wrote does not actually express the actual directions of Israeli policy, nor about the perceptions of the research centers that contradict even the idea that he put forward on the “moderate unified state”. The Institute for the Israeli National Security Studies submitted a study last January (2025), proposing the promotion of a Syrian state divided on an ethnic or sectarian basis between the four areas of influence, under the pretext of protecting minorities, so the regions of the influence of the United States in northeastern Syria to protect the Kurds will be, and the areas of the Syrian coast are under the influence of Russia to protect the Alawites, and Israel takes care of the Druze protection in the south. As for the Sunnah, they remain for the center areas to the borders with Türkiye, and this, according to the study, can be the areas of Turkish influence. This theoretical perception was anticipated by the Israeli government with actual measures in southern Syria, and with statements made by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his Minister of War, Yisrael Katz, confirming Israel’s determination to defend the Druze in Syria, and even give them privileges that allow them to work in the occupied Golan, according to the statement of the Israeli War Minister, or to allocate more than a billion dollars to support the Druze in the Golan Height In Syria. Consequently, it seeks to isolate the Druze from the Syrian state by claiming their protection, and thus Israel has implemented its practical part in this plan.
Israel is trying to promote a picture linking the current Syrian administration to terrorism
However, the events of the past days, beginning with the state being able to impose its control on the Syrian coast, after an attempt to rebel by the remnants of the Assad regime was most likely under the auspices of foreign countries, it is not excluded that Israel would be one of them, through the Syrian administration’s reaching an agreement with the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), and the Hebrew press described it as a dramatic, to integrate the institutions of all the civil and military, in northeastern Syria, in the administration of the state within the administration of the state within the state The Syrian, including the border crossings, the airport, and oil and gas fields, and the application of the agreement in a period not exceeding the end of the current year, leading to the possibility of reaching another agreement between the state and the heads of the Druze clans in the province of As -Suwayda in the south … This is all, meaning that Syria is moving in a steady step towards uniting the country under one administration, which indicates that the scenario of division, and the weakening of the Syrian regime, which Israel wants, does not go as required. Although the agreement finally between the Syrian state and the Kurds may achieve a partial interest for Israel, given that the presence of a secular authority loyal to the United States within the Syrian state serves its interest, in addition to the fact that the assimilation of the Kurds may lead to a limited reduction in Turkish influence, the strengthening of the Syrian regime, on the other hand, and the possibility of weakening Israel’s cooperation with the Kurds as a result of their integration into the state institutions, in addition to what is This provides him with an opportunity to empty the regime to strengthen the state, which are things that do not serve the interests of Israel, which want the Syrian regime to remain surrounded by problems that hinder the construction of a strong state that may threaten Israel in the future.
Thus, these developments, which came on other than the whims of the Israelis, were reflected in the rise of the tone of danger than what is happening in Syria, and Israel became more expressive of its feeling of danger than the Syrian administration because of its Islamic ideology, and it is trying to promote an image linking the current Syrian administration to terrorism. In this context, the statements of the Israeli officials, especially after the events of the Syrian coast, can be understood in the past days, and the violations committed by some Syrian forces that the law promised to investigate them, the Israeli Security Minister Yisrael Katz stated that “Al -Jolani took off the robes, and wearing the solution to present himself as a moderate personality, but now he took off the mask and showed his true face, a jihadist terrorist belonging to a school The rule. As for the Foreign Minister, Gideon Saar, the world leaders warned against the Syrian regime, and urged them to have no confidence in it, and not to grant him free legitimacy, because what is issued by this “jihadist” system is pure evil. They are statements that must be placed in the context of drawing a stereotype of the Syrian regime, and presenting it to the West to be a “moral” justification for the violations made by Israel in Syria.
Israel maintains papers that increase the scene complicated by others, unless the steps of building a strong state in Syria are accelerated
We must consider that these accomplishments achieved by the Syrian regime (and to another degree or another a failure of Israel), of course do not mean the failure of the entire Israeli perception, Israel still enhances its military presence in southern Syria, and bombing targets in the Syrian depth from time to time, and even declaring that it will not leave the areas it occupied in the south after the fall of the Assad regime, claiming to protect its security security as The official statements of the leaders of the Zionist state, in front of them Netanyahu and the Minister of War, confirm that it “will not allow” that Syria be a threat to it. Consequently, Israel still has papers to influence the Syrian scene, which may reach beyond the continued occupation of the new regions in southern Syria. This is the last thing that is dependent on two questions; The first is that Syria achieves great successes in building and uniting the state, and building its military power, which are successes if it is achieved, and Israel will see it as a threat that requires urgent intervention. The other issue is related to the extent of Türkiye’s ability to accelerate with helping to build and modernize the Syrian army, so that Israel finds itself idle in front of the freedom of movement in Syria, in order to avoid clash with the Turks.
On this basis, Israeli dilemmas in Syria are not limited to the failure of the rebellion in the Syrian coast, or the signing of the agreement with the Kurds, and the leaders of the Druze clans in As -Suwayda, but rather extend to fear of any increase in the Turkish influence in Syria; Through military cooperation, or a contribution to building the Syrian army, and providing it with modern military equipment, and the associated all of the presence of Turkish military advisers, which represents a challenge to Israel, because it may limit the freedom of its movement in Syria, and perhaps the possibility of putting Turkey in the opponent’s position, a situation that Israel avoids, according to the researcher at the Institute of Israeli National Security Studies, Karemat Valins. In this context, Israel must avoid public support for the organizations that Türkiye considers a threat to it, so that Türkiye does not similarly take the Golan Heights. However, these caveats do not necessarily prevent Turkey that Turkey pose a potential threat to Israel that requires monitoring and preparation, according to the director of the institute, Tamir Heman, who also sees the need for Israel to reduce the chances of a “extremist” Islamic regime in Syria. It is a concept that is related, as he put it, that the Syrian regime chooses to join what he called the “Political Islam Camp”, which includes the Muslim Brotherhood, Turkey and Qatar, and to take hostile positions declared towards the West, which may lead to weakening some of the Israeli allies in the region.
Thus, Syrian developments finally increase the complexities of the scene for Israel; After the failure of its perceptions (until the moment) about the ethnic or sectarian division in Syria, but it retains papers that can increase the scene complicated on others, unless those concerned are rushing to the existence of a strong Syrian state in the footsteps of the success of the experience there.