3 important results of negotiations between Hamas and Israel

Despite the fatal imbalance in TuAMilitary forces, between the Islamic Resistance Movement “Hamas” and Israel, has introduced the repercussions of the extermination war on the Gaza Strip (2023-2025), new changes in the overall form of the relationship between the two parties, which may mean the possibility of its transformation, within a complex process, towards different balances.

This reflects the erosion of the “relative value” of the military dimensions in the future of the relationship, in exchange for the escalation of the weight of the “comprehensive power”, including the moral, symbolic, liberal and political dimensions, in a way that may be promoted in the end, the ability of Hamas to continue its negotiating policies, and perhaps its scoring “repeated targets” in the Israeli goal, without having to provide additional things that are not agreed upon in The ceasefire and the exchange of prisoners in the Gaza Strip (1/15/2025) agreed.

In the context of analyzing the factors/ specific influencing in the relationship of “Hamas” with Israel, its external contexts, and its paths, in the foreseeable term, there are four notes:

The first note: the Israeli deficit

The Benjamin Netanyahu government was unable to resolve the battle with the military tool, despite its incorporation of all the tools of the genocide, like: (Using civilization of civilians weaponAAnd tightening the economic blockade on them, targeting the recipients of humanitarian aid several times, repeating the deliberate targeting of hospitals, shelters, schools, infrastructure facilities, implementing the policies of “burned land”, “displacement” and “ethnic cleansing”, within what was known as the “general plan” … etc.). Netanyahu and the pillars of his army also failed to force Hamas in particularAAnd the Palestinian resistance factions in generalAThe “White Blind is raising”, and the descent of Israeli surrendering conditions in negotiations.

Despite the various and infinite Israeli negotiating maneuvers, and Netanyahu’s ability to disrupt the prisoner exchange deal for several months, the pressures of the families of the detainees in the Gaza Strip gradually escalated, and the voices demanding the formation of an investigation committee in the state failure in dealing with the attack of October 7, which means two things:

One of them is that Netanyahu and the pillars of his government may face, in a long time, the day of “long knives”, and the exchange of accusations of default and responsibility for failure, between the political and military levels.

The other is the limited Israeli pressure tools, and the erosion of its feasibility, against Hamas and the Gaza Strip in general, except for “buying time” and “delaying”, after clarity as a result of the war of extermination in the failure of the displacement of Gazans, not to mention breaking the will of the resistance.

The second note: Hamas’s ability to confuse

Hamas has proven its ability to “confuse” the Israeli strategy and deny it the features of the “pre -emptive initiative” against the Palestinian side; The Hamas negotiating approach reveals deep knowledge of the Israeli mentality, and the possibility of relying on the resistance in detonating the contradictions of the Israeli interior and its conflicts, as it was manifested by the messages in the phrases that the Qassam Brigades placed in the backgrounds of the scenes of handing over the Israeli detainees, (such as: “We are the flood … we are the next day”, “The land knows its people … from the dual nationality of the height”, “take off your shoes,” take off your shoes Every inch of this land was narrated with the blood of the martyrs.

The analysis of these messages reveals the skill of Hamas on the negotiating, media and propaganda levels; It presented a different model on the “Arab negotiating moderation” approach, since the Conflict breakdown agreements between Egypt and Syria and the Israeli side (1974-1975); Which brought the Arab countries to the paths of settlement and normalization (Camp David 1978, the 1991 Madrid Conference, and the 1993 Oslo Agreements), with all their negative results on the cohesion of Arab positions and the creation of conflicts between them.

Hamas has succeeded in mixing the flexibility and adhering to its principles and the rights of its people, and prompted Israel to change its standards in the release of Palestinian prisoners, in a way that highlighted the “political club”, by improving the Palestinian negotiating center in general, and focusing on the value of the prisoners’ freedom, after the formation of a Palestinian -resisting Palestinian party, which can express the popular will and societal aspirations in liberating the prisoners from their vanity.

It is an issue that affects almost every Palestinian home, in contrast to what the Arab and Palestinian negotiators did, which ignored the issue of the prisoners, within the framework of the settlement process, which focused on the process without achieving real peace, especially in light of the faltering path of Oslo.

Although the “indirect negotiation” process between Hamas and Israel may be the most difficult negotiation in the history of the entire Arab -Israeli conflict, it led to three overlapping results:

• Give it The “moral superiority” of the Palestinian people over their enemy, and the Qassam Brigades was keen to deal with the Israeli detainees, (as it was manifested in the image of the detained recruiter Omrchim Kov, who kissed the captains of the Qassam in the Nusseirat area on February 22, 2025, which confirms Hamas’s interest in the “battle to gain minds and hearts”, in parallel with the resistance of the field resistance factions.
• And its second Demanding the negotiating position of Hamas, and giving a degree of “regional realistic legitimacy” as a “negotiating, responsible and committed party” in front of Qatari and Egyptian brokers, despite the escalation of American threats, and the repetition of Israeli negotiating dodges.
• And the third The steadfastness of the Palestinian worker and the hardness of the will, in resisting the pressure of the American -Israeli worker, may ultimately move a degree of Arab and regional support, and to agree on the “minimum”, which is to refuse to displace the Palestinian people, and the “maximum” of two things; One of them is a return to support the path of international recognition of the Palestinian state on the borders of June 4, 1967, as a “realistic director” in dealing with the repercussions of the extermination war.

The other is the official Arab openness to the Palestinian resistance forces, which converge with the declared Arab targets, in preventing the displacement of the Palestinian people from their land, and thus the issue of Palestine plays the role of the “crane”, in preparation for the establishment of a state of “cohesion” of the regional system in the region, against external pressures, especially the American.

The third note: Increasing the level of complexity

The nature of the conflict between “Hamas” and Israel had repercussions to increase the level of complexity and intertwining in their relationship, especially after the attack of October 7, 2023, which came in the context of resisting the transformations of the Zionist project after the rise of the “new Zionist” currents, of a national/ religious nature, and the Israeli abandonment of the policies of conflict management or “freezing it”, and heading towards the stage of “resolving the conflict”, by displacement And the extermination of the Palestinian people in the West Bank and Gaza, with the continued siege of Gaza and its complete isolation from the Palestinian body, and the prevention of any possibility to unify the Palestinian arenas (as happened during the Saif Al -Quds Operation in May 2021).

In this sense, the current Gaza war will be reshaped the rules of Hamas and Israel’s conflict, as well as the interpretation of the Palestinian and Israeli parties, the meanings of victory and defeat; The victory will depend on the ability to manage the conflict and continue to mobilize the societal energies of the two parties, in this “spacious, fateful political conflict”.

Especially as he entered the stage of decisiveness, perhaps in the foreseeable term, and the possibility of fundamental chairs in Israel and the camp of its international and regional supporters, in parallel with the possibility of the conflict gradually moving towards the West Bank and occupied Jerusalem, and perhaps up to the outbreak of a comprehensive Palestinian uprising, due to the “inevitable collision”, between the components of the Israeli strategy: (violence, state terrorism, terrorism, And extermination, and displacement), in exchange for the repercussions of the inspiring “Palestinian return” scenes, on the symbolic and political levels.

The world continued the return of the forcibly displaced to the northern Gaza region: (the governorates of Gaza and the north), via Rashid Street on foot, which confirmed “the greatness of the Palestinian people, its firmness in its land, its victory, and the declaration of the failure and defeat of the occupation and the displacement plans,” Hamas said in its statement on January 27, 2025.

Fourth note: the impact of the external environment

For the external, international and regional environment, affected Hamas’s relationship with Israel, in light of the interaction of American pressure on the issue of the displacement of the people of the Gaza Strip, the international and international objection to it, and the emergence of Egyptian, Saudi, Turkish, and Iranian reservations on President Donald Trump’s theses, in parallel with the erosion of Israeli pressure papers on Hamas and Gaza, after the exhaustion of all available pressure methods; (Whether through military pressure, starvation, siege and displacement, or launching propaganda and psychological wars, as preceded by saying).

It is not an exaggeration that these complex international and regional interactions confirm that the impact of the prisoners ’exchange in the style of the relationship between Hamas and Israel reveals an important paradox, showing the weakening of the image of Netanyahu and his government in front of the Israeli public, especially the families of the prisoners, in exchange for strengthening the image of Hamas in front of the people of Gaza and the Palestinian people, as well as in front of the world, as a“ national liberation movement ”, working to liberate the prisoners, the human being, and the Palestinian land. The brutal occupation control.

It remains to say that the final outcome of the repercussions of the Gaza war pushes the relationship between Hamas and Israel towards “different balances”, reflects the nature of the battles of national liberation, more than the equations of power balance, with a realistic perspective in international relations, knowing that the nature of the “transitional phase” that the international and regional systems are going through, allows, theoretically, theoretically, for international and regional actors to reduce the restrictions of the structure of the two international systems And the regional, (as Türkiye, Iran, Qatar, South Africa, etc.).

Also, the continuation of the occupying state in its aggression against Palestine, Lebanon, Syria, and the Middle East region in general, may lead to the escalation of regional conflicts, towards the departure from control, and the emergence of radical, jihadist, or even void chaos, in parallel with the inauguration of a long global operation path to isolate and punish Israel for its crimes, especially after the joining of several countries to the issue of extermination Rightened by South Africa against Israel.

Likewise, after the International Criminal Court issued arrest warrants against Benjamin Netanyahu and former Minister of Defense, Yoav Gallent, important aspects that enhance “moral victories” of the question of Palestine, and affirms its political, liberation and human dimensions, in exchange for the clarity of the failure of the “Israeli/ American narrative”, which will remain the demonization of the Palestinian Palestinian human being, criminalizing the right of peoples to the legitimate resistance to injustice And terrorism.