A research paper alerts to “the state of uncertainty” after the legislative elections in Germany

The State of Germany lives in a “state of uncertainty” due to the difficulty of forming a government coalition after the German elections that took place on February 23, 2025, according to what a research paper of Mohamed Boubush, professor of international relations and public international law at Mohamed I University in Oujda, went to the title “The new arrivals of the Bundestag: German policy between preserving the right of protection from right and confronting security challenges in Europe.”

The paper published at the Peace Center for Strategic Studies, on Thursday, focused on the importance of Germany as a leading European power, and the impact of economic and political crises that prompted early elections that reshaped the local political map.

The researcher explained that Germany, with its strategic location and economic strength, faced structural financial challenges, which were exacerbated by the 2009 constitutional “debt curbing” base, which caused the budget deficit; It is the crisis that led to the collapse of the ruling coalition led by Counselor Olf Schultz in December 2024, after losing confidence vote, which led to early elections, stressing that understanding the results requires linking them to European and international tensions, especially with the Trump administration.

Boubush pointed out that the German elections witnessed a turnout of 80 percent of 60 million voters, and resulted in the top of the conservatives, as the Christian Democratic Union Party/Christian Social Union (28.5-29 %) led by Friedrich Mertz, with the rise of the oath, won the “Alternative For Germany” party 20 percent of votes, exporting in the east, with hostile positions For Muslims, in exchange for the retreat of the socialists; The Social Democratic Party fell to 16.4 percent, which is the worst result historically, while the left maintained its stability, as it got 9 percent of the votes and 6 direct seats.

The researcher drew attention to the fact that Parliament will be held at a maximum on March 25, 2025, but the negotiations may be prolonged, indicating that the potential tracks are: a bilateral alliance with the socialists (the talks started on February 28) or the “alternative” that he considered “theoretical exclusion”; Or a tripartite alliance with socialists, free democratic or vegetables.

The paper has set the upcoming government’s priorities in reforming “debt curbing”, lowering taxes, increasing defense spending, facing Trump’s customs threats, seeking European independence, then supporting Ukraine and strengthening European defense.

As for the professor of international relations and public international law, the elections constituted a “decisive moment” that will affect the internal rule and the European geopolitical rule, with a question about Mertz’s ability to revive the economy and enhance the role of Germany globally, considering that this matter “is what the next stage will reveal.”